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Putin said in a reference to NATO. NATO now totals 30 members, including 14 European countries that have been added over the past two decades. They include three former Soviet republics, the Baltic nations of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Zubok says he doesn't know what will happen short-term. But as a historian, he sees long-term friction. Former U.S. diplomat Donald Jensen says predictions about Russia are always hard. He served at the embassy in Moscow as the Soviet Union was collapsing, and again in the years afterward. He believes the U.S. Russia, while the Russians were actually battling each other over power and money. He cites an example in 1995, when he was riding a tram in Moscow and saw Vladimir Kryuchkov, the former head of the Soviet security service, the KGB, who led a failed coup attempt against Gorbachev in August 1991, four months before the Soviet collapse. Jensen set up a meeting, and over a bottle of vodka they discussed the final days of the Soviet Union. Jensen said he was struck by how some top Soviet officials seemed less worried about a Soviet breakup than about losing privileged positions that allowed them to make large sums of money. Jensen still studies Russia. He's now at the U.S. Institute of Peace.. While he's critical of some U.S. And while he's critical of some U.S. Russia has missed over the past three decades. The evidence, he says, is on display along the Russia-Ukraine border. Greg Myre is an NPR national security correspondent who was based in Moscow from 1996-99. Follow him @gregmyre1.




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